Comments on: Russia Economic Crisis III: On the Importance of Self-Sufficiency in Liquids http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/ Anatoly Karlin on geopolitics, peak oil, and futurism Thu, 11 Mar 2010 03:30:20 +0000 hourly 1 By: Perils of Water | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-1865 Perils of Water | Sublime Oblivion Sun, 23 Aug 2009 06:08:30 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-1865 [...] in the next few years bar much heavier state intervention. Thus, yet more incentive and impetus for the return of the Russian state as the spearhead of economic development in the next [...] [...] in the next few years bar much heavier state intervention. Thus, yet more incentive and impetus for the return of the Russian state as the spearhead of economic development in the next [...]

]]> By: Reconsidering Parshev | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-1722 Reconsidering Parshev | Sublime Oblivion Tue, 04 Aug 2009 08:53:58 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-1722 [...] I pointed out earlier here and here, Russia is returning to the future. Its demography is stabilizing after the precipitous [...] [...] I pointed out earlier here and here, Russia is returning to the future. Its demography is stabilizing after the precipitous [...]

]]> By: Review of “The Prodigal Superpower” (S. Rosefielde) | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-1471 Review of “The Prodigal Superpower” (S. Rosefielde) | Sublime Oblivion Tue, 07 Jul 2009 02:38:28 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-1471 [...] for political loyalty, to mere salaried servants of the state. And as I predicted in my article The Importance of Self-Sufficiency, the crisis is undermining the power of Russia’s Westernized “historyless elites” [...] [...] for political loyalty, to mere salaried servants of the state. And as I predicted in my article The Importance of Self-Sufficiency, the crisis is undermining the power of Russia’s Westernized “historyless elites” [...]

]]> By: Putvedev is Russia’s White Rider | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-1053 Putvedev is Russia’s White Rider | Sublime Oblivion Mon, 25 May 2009 08:40:08 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-1053 [...] account means there’s little chance of a balance of payments crisis. The main task now is to develop sources of financing independent of the sinking Western financial system, which would require cleaning up and consolidating the currently fragmented Russian banking [...] [...] account means there’s little chance of a balance of payments crisis. The main task now is to develop sources of financing independent of the sinking Western financial system, which would require cleaning up and consolidating the currently fragmented Russian banking [...]

]]> By: Russia’s Demographic Resilience | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-1017 Russia’s Demographic Resilience | Sublime Oblivion Sat, 23 May 2009 05:12:28 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-1017 [...] even earlier, from The Importance of Self-Sufficiency in December 2008: All vital demographic statistics, with the exception of the total fertility rate, [...] [...] even earlier, from The Importance of Self-Sufficiency in December 2008: All vital demographic statistics, with the exception of the total fertility rate, [...]

]]> By: Decoupling from the Unwinding | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-691 Decoupling from the Unwinding | Sublime Oblivion Sun, 29 Mar 2009 03:44:47 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-691 [...] months ago I wrote an extensive analysis of Russia’s economy during the crisis in which I said that although it is going to be damaged by the shutdown of its [...] [...] months ago I wrote an extensive analysis of Russia’s economy during the crisis in which I said that although it is going to be damaged by the shutdown of its [...]

]]> By: Comrade Kasparov - Charlatan or Bolshevik? | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-589 Comrade Kasparov - Charlatan or Bolshevik? | Sublime Oblivion Fri, 06 Mar 2009 04:54:34 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-589 [...] repayments crisis has subsided and the ruble fell, which will engender an economic recovery that I predicted three months ago. Indeed, as of February Russia’s VTB manufacturing PMI rose to 40.6 from around 34 in the [...] [...] repayments crisis has subsided and the ruble fell, which will engender an economic recovery that I predicted three months ago. Indeed, as of February Russia’s VTB manufacturing PMI rose to 40.6 from around 34 in the [...]

]]> By: Da Russophile, A Year On | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-450 Da Russophile, A Year On | Sublime Oblivion Wed, 21 Jan 2009 20:33:47 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-450 [...] that it has some real intellectual content and insights, in particularly my work on demography and Russia’s economic crisis. This was the main reason I decided to associate this blog with my name, Anatoly Karlin, when I [...] [...] that it has some real intellectual content and insights, in particularly my work on demography and Russia’s economic crisis. This was the main reason I decided to associate this blog with my name, Anatoly Karlin, when I [...]

]]> By: Russophile Predictions Update | Sublime Oblivion http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-383 Russophile Predictions Update | Sublime Oblivion Thu, 01 Jan 2009 06:12:31 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-383 [...] crisis has screwed up many of the economic ones, but I am convinced that this is essentially a short-term problem and that most are still achievable within the given timeframe. For this post I quote the [...] [...] crisis has screwed up many of the economic ones, but I am convinced that this is essentially a short-term problem and that most are still achievable within the given timeframe. For this post I quote the [...]

]]> By: Gustav http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2008/12/07/russia-economic-crisis-iii-on-the-importance-of-self-sufficiency-in-liquids/#comment-376 Gustav Sun, 28 Dec 2008 08:03:40 +0000 http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=420#comment-376 You sound like a government public affairs officer. I could talk about the high rates of immigration vs. emmigration, or the increasing older population (and the "Ulyanovsk day of conception" will not fix that). But ultimately there is no Russian Brand. There are no intellectual property rights: serious inventors, investors, engineers from Russia go to the US for patents. The only thing you would here if heard something is made from Russia is laughter and a few jokes. The moral of the story is that nationalistic sheep-people are everywhere (US, Europe, etc.). Giving these predictions are the same as saying oil should be at $300/barrel right now according to the last summer's predictions. Yes Russia's economy is more diversified than natural gas and minerals look: http://www.vedomosti.ru/newspaper/article.shtml?2008/12/22/174687 <b>AK responds</b>: With nothing constructive to say on the topic (and probably after only a quick skim through the article), you flounder like a drunk clown in a pond of red herrings and slippery insinuations. Come back when you learn to argue like an adult. PS: I don't see how your migration sentence fits in with the rest of your comment. Unless I misunderstand you, yes it is true that Russia's immigration is much higher than emigration due to the fact that it is much better off economically than the likes of Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, the Central Asian countries, etc. That is a <i>positive</i>, which makes your comment seem somewhat schizophrenic. Unless you meant to say that Russia's emigration is higher than its immigration, which is flat out wrong. Also, please don't link your name to irrelevant news story from 5 years ago - it is a disservice to other readers of the blog. You sound like a government public affairs officer. I could talk about the high rates of immigration vs. emmigration, or the increasing older population (and the “Ulyanovsk day of conception” will not fix that). But ultimately there is no Russian Brand. There are no intellectual property rights: serious inventors, investors, engineers from Russia go to the US for patents. The only thing you would here if heard something is made from Russia is laughter and a few jokes. The moral of the story is that nationalistic sheep-people are everywhere (US, Europe, etc.). Giving these predictions are the same as saying oil should be at $300/barrel right now according to the last summer’s predictions.

Yes Russia’s economy is more diversified than natural gas and minerals look:
http://www.vedomosti.ru/newspaper/article.shtml?2008/12/22/174687

AK responds: With nothing constructive to say on the topic (and probably after only a quick skim through the article), you flounder like a drunk clown in a pond of red herrings and slippery insinuations. Come back when you learn to argue like an adult.

PS: I don’t see how your migration sentence fits in with the rest of your comment. Unless I misunderstand you, yes it is true that Russia’s immigration is much higher than emigration due to the fact that it is much better off economically than the likes of Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, the Central Asian countries, etc. That is a positive, which makes your comment seem somewhat schizophrenic. Unless you meant to say that Russia’s emigration is higher than its immigration, which is flat out wrong. Also, please don’t link your name to irrelevant news story from 5 years ago – it is a disservice to other readers of the blog.

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