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	<title>Comments on: Victimized Venezuela III: The Road to Reconciliation</title>
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	<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/</link>
	<description>Anatoly Karlin on Eurasia, geopolitics, and peak oil</description>
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		<title>By: Kolya</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-1063</link>
		<dc:creator>Kolya</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 May 2009 20:04:54 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Me again. An interesting and informative article about Hugo Chavez, the person, can be read here:

http://www.tnr.com/booksarts/story.html?id=38435d75-d7c7-45dc-9dbe-4625056d42b6&amp;p=8

It&#039;s based on the recent book by the author.

Chavez groupies downplay the role played by Ceresole (who died in 2003), even though recently Chavez called Ceresole a great friend and a wise man. Here is a bit on Ceresole from the link above:

///
In devising his Bolivarian ideology, Chavez might not have read Carlyle, but he certainly read his &quot;great friend,&quot; the Argentinian sociologist Norberto Ceresole. He met Ceresole after he was released from prison, traveled with him around Venezuela, and for many years the professor was a close advisor. Ceresole, who was born in 1943 and died in 2003, moved easily between the Soviet left and the neo-Nazi right. He was an advisor to Juan Velasco Alvarado; a member of the Montoneros, a Peronist guerrilla group; a spokesman for Peron during his exile in Madrid; a leader of the Carapintadas, an ultra-right military movement; a member of the Soviet Academy of Sciences and a professor at the Soviet Military Academy; a representative of Hezbollah in Madrid; a neo-Nazi militant and a vociferous Holocaust denier. Ceresole was the author of several books of geopolitics explicitly inspired by the Nazi general Karl Haushofer. And this brings us to another element of classical fascism that Hugo Chavez has not hesitated to exploit: anti-Semitism.
In his book Terrorismo fundamentalista judio , or Jewish Fundamentalist Terrorism, which was published in 1996, while he was associated with Chavez, Ceresole revived the theory of an international Jewish conspiracy actively set on seizing control of Latin America. ... 
In his work Caudillo, ejercito, pueblo: La Venezuela del Comandante Chavez , or The Caudillo, the Army and the People: The Venezuela of Comandante Chavez , which was published in 1999, Ceresole wrote:

    In Venezuela, the change will be channeled through one man, 
    one &quot;physical person,&quot; not an abstract idea or a party.... 
    The people of Venezuela created a caudillo. The nucleus of 
    power today lies precisely in the relationship established between 
    the leader and the masses. The unique and differential nature of the 
    Venezuelan process cannot be distorted or misinterpreted. What we 
    have here is a people issuing an order to a chief, a caudillo, a military leader.
///</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Me again. An interesting and informative article about Hugo Chavez, the person, can be read here:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.tnr.com/booksarts/story.html?id=38435d75-d7c7-45dc-9dbe-4625056d42b6&amp;p=8" rel="nofollow">http://www.tnr.com/booksarts/story.html?id=38435d75-d7c7-45dc-9dbe-4625056d42b6&amp;p=8</a></p>
<p>It&#8217;s based on the recent book by the author.</p>
<p>Chavez groupies downplay the role played by Ceresole (who died in 2003), even though recently Chavez called Ceresole a great friend and a wise man. Here is a bit on Ceresole from the link above:</p>
<p>///<br />
In devising his Bolivarian ideology, Chavez might not have read Carlyle, but he certainly read his &#8220;great friend,&#8221; the Argentinian sociologist Norberto Ceresole. He met Ceresole after he was released from prison, traveled with him around Venezuela, and for many years the professor was a close advisor. Ceresole, who was born in 1943 and died in 2003, moved easily between the Soviet left and the neo-Nazi right. He was an advisor to Juan Velasco Alvarado; a member of the Montoneros, a Peronist guerrilla group; a spokesman for Peron during his exile in Madrid; a leader of the Carapintadas, an ultra-right military movement; a member of the Soviet Academy of Sciences and a professor at the Soviet Military Academy; a representative of Hezbollah in Madrid; a neo-Nazi militant and a vociferous Holocaust denier. Ceresole was the author of several books of geopolitics explicitly inspired by the Nazi general Karl Haushofer. And this brings us to another element of classical fascism that Hugo Chavez has not hesitated to exploit: anti-Semitism.<br />
In his book Terrorismo fundamentalista judio , or Jewish Fundamentalist Terrorism, which was published in 1996, while he was associated with Chavez, Ceresole revived the theory of an international Jewish conspiracy actively set on seizing control of Latin America. &#8230;<br />
In his work Caudillo, ejercito, pueblo: La Venezuela del Comandante Chavez , or The Caudillo, the Army and the People: The Venezuela of Comandante Chavez , which was published in 1999, Ceresole wrote:</p>
<p>    In Venezuela, the change will be channeled through one man,<br />
    one &#8220;physical person,&#8221; not an abstract idea or a party&#8230;.<br />
    The people of Venezuela created a caudillo. The nucleus of<br />
    power today lies precisely in the relationship established between<br />
    the leader and the masses. The unique and differential nature of the<br />
    Venezuelan process cannot be distorted or misinterpreted. What we<br />
    have here is a people issuing an order to a chief, a caudillo, a military leader.<br />
///</p>
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		<title>By: Kolya</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-1062</link>
		<dc:creator>Kolya</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 May 2009 17:33:31 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Fedia and AK, I commented about Venezuela many many times--including a few comments in this very blog a while ago (I assume my comments here can be found.) My apologies for running out of patience, but even though I&#039;m doing it now, I don&#039;t feel like writing once again about something that I have done many times. Chavez is a demagogic buffoon with a propaganda machine that started to propagate negative myths about Venezuela&#039;s democracy of the 1958 to 1998 period. I&#039;m especially disgusted at those myths because I lived in Venezuela for many of those years. And yes, I was disgusted by the corruption and waste I saw during those years, but I&#039;m also very disgusted by the self-serving Chavista falsification of very recent history. 

In any event, before Chavez there was much more freedom of the press and political opponents where not persecuted and harassed as they are now. And how about crime? Even though Venezuela&#039;s crime rate was not low there was MUCH less crime than before Chavez. Now Caracas has the dubious honor of being the murder capital of all of the Americas and most of the victims, as usual, are poor. I can go on and on, from schools getting worse, food shortages that didn&#039;t use to exist, an oil industry that is becoming less and less efficient, the lack of credibility of government statistics, etc, etc. And all that despite Chavez being extremely lucky in his timing. Venezuela&#039;s income is basically oil and Chavez&#039;s rule coincided with the boom in oil prices. Now, of course, things are becoming tough. By the way, the Venezuelan president during the oil boom of the 1970s was also very popular back then--not a coincidence. But people believe what they want to believe and in the US some lefties naively give credence to American analysts such as Weisbrot and Wilpert--men with ties to the Chavez regime. (The holes and biases in their reports have been written about in detail in many places. Some of their strongest critics are honest lefty analysts.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fedia and AK, I commented about Venezuela many many times&#8211;including a few comments in this very blog a while ago (I assume my comments here can be found.) My apologies for running out of patience, but even though I&#8217;m doing it now, I don&#8217;t feel like writing once again about something that I have done many times. Chavez is a demagogic buffoon with a propaganda machine that started to propagate negative myths about Venezuela&#8217;s democracy of the 1958 to 1998 period. I&#8217;m especially disgusted at those myths because I lived in Venezuela for many of those years. And yes, I was disgusted by the corruption and waste I saw during those years, but I&#8217;m also very disgusted by the self-serving Chavista falsification of very recent history. </p>
<p>In any event, before Chavez there was much more freedom of the press and political opponents where not persecuted and harassed as they are now. And how about crime? Even though Venezuela&#8217;s crime rate was not low there was MUCH less crime than before Chavez. Now Caracas has the dubious honor of being the murder capital of all of the Americas and most of the victims, as usual, are poor. I can go on and on, from schools getting worse, food shortages that didn&#8217;t use to exist, an oil industry that is becoming less and less efficient, the lack of credibility of government statistics, etc, etc. And all that despite Chavez being extremely lucky in his timing. Venezuela&#8217;s income is basically oil and Chavez&#8217;s rule coincided with the boom in oil prices. Now, of course, things are becoming tough. By the way, the Venezuelan president during the oil boom of the 1970s was also very popular back then&#8211;not a coincidence. But people believe what they want to believe and in the US some lefties naively give credence to American analysts such as Weisbrot and Wilpert&#8211;men with ties to the Chavez regime. (The holes and biases in their reports have been written about in detail in many places. Some of their strongest critics are honest lefty analysts.)</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Averko</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-837</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Averko</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2009 18:53:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=778#comment-837</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s a fine line between the neolibs and neocons.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s a fine line between the neolibs and neocons.</p>
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		<title>By: AK</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-836</link>
		<dc:creator>AK</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2009 03:23:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=778#comment-836</guid>
		<description>My view on this is that whether I, or the American people for that matter, like someone or not should not factor into whether the US should maintain good relations with them. Now I happen to like Chavez and think that he&#039;s done an overall good job, though I agree his rhetoric is at times too aggressive (though that does make him a more colorful figure) and provides good ammunition for the Western media to malign him. Re-socialism, though not normally a fan of it, many Latin American nations need a good dose of it.

That said, what&#039;s far more important is that he&#039;s ultimately a rational actor and striking a partnership with Venezuela is objectively in the US national interest - for the aforementioned reasons to do with oil, geopolitics, and retaining US cultural influence in Latin America. On the contrary, a similar reconciliation with Iran is pretty much out of the question now - even disregarding the unpleasant nature of that regime, US and Iranian national interests are simply too divergent for it to work.

Of course you&#039;re not a neocon, what with your opinions on Serbia and Russia. ;) My main issue with them is not even their overweening arrogance and hypocrisy, but their substitution of rigid ideology in place of national interest-based Realpolitik in foreign policy, which have led to disaster after disaster. In that sense they&#039;re similar to Bolsheviks, or radical Islamists for that matter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My view on this is that whether I, or the American people for that matter, like someone or not should not factor into whether the US should maintain good relations with them. Now I happen to like Chavez and think that he&#8217;s done an overall good job, though I agree his rhetoric is at times too aggressive (though that does make him a more colorful figure) and provides good ammunition for the Western media to malign him. Re-socialism, though not normally a fan of it, many Latin American nations need a good dose of it.</p>
<p>That said, what&#8217;s far more important is that he&#8217;s ultimately a rational actor and striking a partnership with Venezuela is objectively in the US national interest &#8211; for the aforementioned reasons to do with oil, geopolitics, and retaining US cultural influence in Latin America. On the contrary, a similar reconciliation with Iran is pretty much out of the question now &#8211; even disregarding the unpleasant nature of that regime, US and Iranian national interests are simply too divergent for it to work.</p>
<p>Of course you&#8217;re not a neocon, what with your opinions on Serbia and Russia. <img src='http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' />  My main issue with them is not even their overweening arrogance and hypocrisy, but their substitution of rigid ideology in place of national interest-based Realpolitik in foreign policy, which have led to disaster after disaster. In that sense they&#8217;re similar to Bolsheviks, or radical Islamists for that matter.</p>
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		<title>By: Natalie</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-835</link>
		<dc:creator>Natalie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2009 01:33:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Sorry Anatoly, but I think you&#039;re quite wrong on this one.  South America isn&#039;t my specialty, so I fully admit to not knowing absolutely everything.  Nevertheless, I don&#039;t think you&#039;re quite accurate on this issue.  Chavez, in my opinion, is a thug who just wants to remain in power indefinitely.  His politics are way too leftist for my tastes.  I personally found Obama&#039;s reaching out to be entirely inappropriate (though in all honesty not as inappropriate as many of the other things he&#039;s done already).

And just to be clear, since you mentioned the neocons at the beginning of this post, I&#039;m not overly fond of them myself, just to let you know.  So of course you can disagree with what I&#039;ve said, but please don&#039;t label me a neocon because I am certainly not one :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry Anatoly, but I think you&#8217;re quite wrong on this one.  South America isn&#8217;t my specialty, so I fully admit to not knowing absolutely everything.  Nevertheless, I don&#8217;t think you&#8217;re quite accurate on this issue.  Chavez, in my opinion, is a thug who just wants to remain in power indefinitely.  His politics are way too leftist for my tastes.  I personally found Obama&#8217;s reaching out to be entirely inappropriate (though in all honesty not as inappropriate as many of the other things he&#8217;s done already).</p>
<p>And just to be clear, since you mentioned the neocons at the beginning of this post, I&#8217;m not overly fond of them myself, just to let you know.  So of course you can disagree with what I&#8217;ve said, but please don&#8217;t label me a neocon because I am certainly not one <img src='http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Fedia Kriukov</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-832</link>
		<dc:creator>Fedia Kriukov</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2009 04:34:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=778#comment-832</guid>
		<description>Kolya, do you by any chance have any other arguments besides &quot;I have no doubt whatsover&quot;?

When you put that against statistics provided by Anatoly, you don&#039;t come out ahead.  I am genuinely curious about an educated debate on all the points raised in this blog entry and I would really appreciate it if all counterarguments were of the same quality as the original thesis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kolya, do you by any chance have any other arguments besides &#8220;I have no doubt whatsover&#8221;?</p>
<p>When you put that against statistics provided by Anatoly, you don&#8217;t come out ahead.  I am genuinely curious about an educated debate on all the points raised in this blog entry and I would really appreciate it if all counterarguments were of the same quality as the original thesis.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Averko</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-814</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Averko</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2009 03:52:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=778#comment-814</guid>
		<description>AK

So there&#039;s no misunderstanding, I don&#039;t think it&#039;s wrong for Obama to engage in such a way.

I was just noting the kind of opposition he faces when doing so.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AK</p>
<p>So there&#8217;s no misunderstanding, I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s wrong for Obama to engage in such a way.</p>
<p>I was just noting the kind of opposition he faces when doing so.</p>
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		<title>By: AK</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-813</link>
		<dc:creator>AK</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2009 02:35:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=778#comment-813</guid>
		<description>@Michael,

I don&#039;t think there&#039;s a major problem with Obama engaging characters like Hugo Chavez. First, and mostly importantly, it serves US national interests, regardless of whether or not Chavez is a good leader - on which there is plenty of controversy, as this very thread attests. Second, it is not even politically damaging for a Democrat like him - almost all the folks who favor would favor a hard-line approach, are going to oppose him regardless.

@Kolya,

I know, you made it clear in a previous thread here. I&#039;m not sure what my views on Venezuela - on which topic I admit to knowing much less about than on, say, Russia - have to do with my &quot;other pronouncements&quot;, which you are in any case free to challenge when I post them up.

PS. Though I don&#039;t like stating the obvious, the folks who dropped out of poverty, the adults who got the opportunity for a previously unattainable education and the hundreds of thousands now getting free eye-care operations and the tens of thousands getting anti-retroviral treatment for HIV would by and large disagree with your assessment that &quot;the country is in worse shape than before&quot;, I&#039;d imagine.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Michael,</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s a major problem with Obama engaging characters like Hugo Chavez. First, and mostly importantly, it serves US national interests, regardless of whether or not Chavez is a good leader &#8211; on which there is plenty of controversy, as this very thread attests. Second, it is not even politically damaging for a Democrat like him &#8211; almost all the folks who favor would favor a hard-line approach, are going to oppose him regardless.</p>
<p>@Kolya,</p>
<p>I know, you made it clear in a previous thread here. I&#8217;m not sure what my views on Venezuela &#8211; on which topic I admit to knowing much less about than on, say, Russia &#8211; have to do with my &#8220;other pronouncements&#8221;, which you are in any case free to challenge when I post them up.</p>
<p>PS. Though I don&#8217;t like stating the obvious, the folks who dropped out of poverty, the adults who got the opportunity for a previously unattainable education and the hundreds of thousands now getting free eye-care operations and the tens of thousands getting anti-retroviral treatment for HIV would by and large disagree with your assessment that &#8220;the country is in worse shape than before&#8221;, I&#8217;d imagine.</p>
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		<title>By: Kolya</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-812</link>
		<dc:creator>Kolya</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2009 02:20:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=778#comment-812</guid>
		<description>Frankly, you are clueless on Venezuela. Chavez has brought MUCH more harm than good, the country is in worse shape than before, and Venezuelans are less free and more in danger than before he took power. Of this I have no doubt whatsover. (And I&#039;m writing this as someone who in the US is labeled a lefty.) 

What you write about Venezuela makes me doubt the wisdom of your other pronouncements--which I often found interesting even if I didn&#039;t entirely agree with them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Frankly, you are clueless on Venezuela. Chavez has brought MUCH more harm than good, the country is in worse shape than before, and Venezuelans are less free and more in danger than before he took power. Of this I have no doubt whatsover. (And I&#8217;m writing this as someone who in the US is labeled a lefty.) </p>
<p>What you write about Venezuela makes me doubt the wisdom of your other pronouncements&#8211;which I often found interesting even if I didn&#8217;t entirely agree with them.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Averko</title>
		<link>http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/04/19/victimized-venezuela-iii/#comment-810</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Averko</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2009 02:41:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/?p=778#comment-810</guid>
		<description>A key point to look for is how Obama will handle protest of his &quot;soft&quot; approach to Venezuela and Cuba.

On the latter, he might not get such a hard time. The Cuban-American community shows signs of support for bridging the gap along what Obama has said.

Overall in Venezuela, it has been said that the wealthier White community is more prone to oppose HC, unlike much of the rest of  that country.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A key point to look for is how Obama will handle protest of his &#8220;soft&#8221; approach to Venezuela and Cuba.</p>
<p>On the latter, he might not get such a hard time. The Cuban-American community shows signs of support for bridging the gap along what Obama has said.</p>
<p>Overall in Venezuela, it has been said that the wealthier White community is more prone to oppose HC, unlike much of the rest of  that country.</p>
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