Tag Archives: india

Why China Is Far Superior To India

It is not a secret to longtime readers of this blog that I rate India’s prospects far more pessimistically than I do China’s. My main reason is I do not share the delusion that democracy is a panacea and that whatever advantage … Continue reading

Posted in Sublime Oblivion, The Sino Triumphalist | Tagged , , , , , , , | 75 Comments

Esperanto Estas La Plej Facila Lingvo En La Mondo

In the course of my Chinese adventures, all other languages started to seem a lot easier. So needless to say that Esperanto, one of the easiest of them all, looks like just a walk in the park now. In particular, I’m … Continue reading

Posted in Coffee House | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

The Power Of Contingency: Why China Didn’t Rule The World

Pomeranz, Kenneth – The Great Divergence: China, Europe, and the Making of the Modern World Economy (2001) Category: economy, history, world systems; Rating: 5*/5 Summary: Brad DeLong’s review; The Bactra Review; Are Coal and Colonies Really Crucial? It’s a rare book that not only … Continue reading

Posted in Reviews, Sublime Oblivion, The Sino Triumphalist | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 71 Comments

Russia’s Economic “Stagnation” In Global Perspective

EDIT: This article has been translated into Russian at Inosmi.Ru (Российская экономическая «стагнация» в глобальной перспективе). Иn the wake of the 2009 recession, declinist rhetoric has come to dominate discussion of Russia’s economic prospects. Jim O’Neill, the founder of the BRIC’s concept, … Continue reading

Posted in Da Russophile | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

Future Superpowers – The World To 2100

Most current projections of future trends in national power fail to appreciate the importance of three crucial factors: (1) the declining EROEI of energy resources (including, but not limited to, “peak oil”); (2) the importance of human capital to economic … Continue reading

Posted in Sublime Oblivion | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 121 Comments

Russia Demographic Update VI

As we’re now approaching mid-2011, I suppose its time to give my traditional update on Russia’s demography. So here’s the lay-down: 1. In February, I predicted a population decline of c. 50,000 in 2010 (after a 23,000 rise in 2009). … Continue reading

Posted in Da Russophile | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 18 Comments

Top 10 Most Powerful Countries In 2011

The Chinese have an interesting concept that quantifies Great Power status, called Comprehensive National Power (CNP). This index is produced by processing the economic, military and cultural factors that make countries powerful: GDP, technological development, number of tanks and ICBM’s, as … Continue reading

Posted in Coffee House, Sublime Oblivion | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 624 Comments

My Interview on Middle East Geopolitics, Afghanistan and Iran & the Bomb with Marat Kunaev

I was recently interviewed on Middle East geopolitics and the Iran Question by Marat Kunaev, a blogger and translator at InoForum. I would like to thank him for the opportunity to express my views on the topic and providing a possible … Continue reading

Posted in Sublime Oblivion | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 38 Comments

The Century without an Indian Summer

How will the global South fare in our likely future of energy shortages, climate change and resource nationalism (and wars)? India has China’s population mass, but lacks its industrial dynamism and human capital. Africa has Russia’s energy and mineral wealth, but … Continue reading

Posted in Sublime Oblivion | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 36 Comments

IQ and Industrialism

My recent post on demographic myths unleashed a lively discussion on the issue of race and IQ in the comments section. I’m not too interested in wading into it: not out of any misplaced respect for political correctness, of course, … Continue reading

Posted in Coffee House, Sublime Oblivion | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 21 Comments