Tag Archives: resource depletion

Future Superpowers – The World To 2100

Most current projections of future trends in national power fail to appreciate the importance of three crucial factors: (1) the declining EROEI of energy resources (including, but not limited to, “peak oil”); (2) the importance of human capital to economic … Continue reading

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Decade Forecast, Part 1 – The Downsizing Of Pax Americana

This is the first post in a series of three, in which I will analyze the major trends that will define the next ten years and their likely impacts on global regions. To put these forecasts into context, I must … Continue reading

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Tales From The Beijing Embassy

Four cables from Cathay, courtesy of this excellent Cable Search tool. The first cable (Cable 1) is one of the last dispatches of Ambassador to the PRC Clark T. Randt, a long, analytical piece from January 2009. But it’s also … Continue reading

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The Collapse Party Fulfills Its Own Name

I founded the Collapse Party one year ago after coming to the hard realization that industrial civilization is unsustainable and that – barring revolutionary socio-political (e.g. “ecotechnic dictatorship“) or technological (e.g. geoengineering) transformation – it’s catastrophic unraveling by the middle … Continue reading

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Everyone is Still Underestimating China

There’s been lots of fanfare over China’s GDP overtaking Japan’s in Q2 2010 (coming hard on the heels of a big ruckus over its DF-21 “carrier killing” ballistic missile and rising tensions with the US over North Korea and the … Continue reading

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The Century without an Indian Summer

How will the global South fare in our likely future of energy shortages, climate change and resource nationalism (and wars)? India has China’s population mass, but lacks its industrial dynamism and human capital. Africa has Russia’s energy and mineral wealth, but … Continue reading

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Sublime News #8 – #9

1. The revolution in Kyrgyzstan to be covered in Sublime News #10 – this issue is packed enough as it is. For now, read Kyrgyzstan and the Russian Resurgence (free Stratfor) for a summary. 2. Putin made a conciliatory speech on the 70th … Continue reading

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Sublime News #7

1. The Moscow terakts. Frankly, there is little point to me adding more to the excellent coverage / meta-commentary provided by Mark Adomanis (1, 2, 3), Sean Guillory (1, 2, 3, 4), A Good Treaty (1, 2), Leos Tomicek (1), … Continue reading

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Sublime News #1

I am beginning a new post category, Sublime News, in which I collate and comment on news bits and pieces that I find interesting over the past week. Whatever I write over the week will be automatically published every Saturday, … Continue reading

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Review of “Limits to Growth” (Meadows et al.)

If I could recommend just one book to someone with a business-as-usual outlook, someone who believes human ingenuity and free markets will always bail us out of any resource scarcity or environmental problem, it would be Limits to Growth: The 30-Year … Continue reading

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